Week 7: Interpretation and Simulation

Schedule of the Week

Date	Time	Item	Place
Tue, Mar 24	13:30–14:30	Office hours (Thomas)	A5,6 B 220
	15:30–17:00	Office hours (Domantas)	A5,6 B 226
	15:30–17:00	Office hours (Lisa)	Zoom
Wed, Mar 25	8:30–10:00	Lecture	A5,6 B244
	12:00	Homework 4 is assigned	Github
Thu, Mar 26	10:15–11:45	Lab (Domantas)	B6, 23-25, A 103
Fri, Mar 27	10:15–11:45	Lab (Lisa)	A5, 6, B143

Study Notes

Please read closely King et al (2000). If you have read it before - read it again! This piece is definitely on the “Top 10” list of papers every MA student has to digest. Also take a look at the Hanmer & Kalkan paper to understand the difference between average-case and observed-value approaches. Which one do you prefer? Finally, to see an example how much substance you can convey through simulating quantities of interest, take a look at Abrajano et al.

Readings


	King, Gary, Michael Tomz and Jason Wittenberg. 2000. “Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation”. American Journal of Political Science 44(2): 347–361.	Required
	Hanmer, Michael J., and Kerem Ozan Kalkan. 2013. “Behind the Curve: Clarifying the Best Approach to Calculating Predicted Probabilities and Marginal Effects from Limited Dependent Variable Models.” American Journal of Political Science 57(1): 263–277.	Required
	Abrajano, Marisa A., R. Michael Alvarez, and Jonathan Nagler. 2008. “The Hispanic Vote in the 2004 Presidential Election: Insecurity and Moral Concerns.” The Journal of Politics 70(2): 368-82.	Required

Last updated on 26 Feb 2026